Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
DIR
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
GEM
2 - 1
CHO
36%
30%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
DIR
0 - 4
CHO
37%
26%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 2
SMI
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
AMA
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
ARA
41%
24%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
COS
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 0
ARN
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LDA
0 - 1
ARA
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |