Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
9º
2º
22
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 58 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 54 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 54 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 53 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 44 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 39 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 37 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 36 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 35 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 31 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 25 |
15º
|
42.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 18 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
49.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
YAN
1 - 1
CHO
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 0
JIA
46%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 0
CHO
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
ANH
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
SHE
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
SHA
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 5
YUN
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
DUF
1 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
HKF
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
ANH
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |