Chicago Fire vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PHU
4 - 1
CFS
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
CFS
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CFS
0 - 0
AFC
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 3
CFS
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 0
SES
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
NYC
1 - 3
CHA
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
IMI
3 - 2
NYC
34%
24%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
COC
3 - 2
NYC
33%
26%
42%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
NYC
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NYC
2 - 0
IMI
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |