Chicago Fire vs Chicago House AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
CFS
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CFS
2 - 2
PHU
24%
25%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CFS
2 - 1
MIN
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CFS
0 - 0
DCU
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
IMI
2 - 3
CFS
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago House AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 3
CAC
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 0
MIB
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | +7 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 3
CUS
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 1
STA
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 1
LAF
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +3 |