Chicago Fire II vs Philadelphia Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
6 - 0
CCS
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
CHI
19%
20%
61%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NYO
4 - 1
CHI
34%
23%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HUN
2 - 2
CHI
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
ORL
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PHU
2 - 1
NER
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PHU
2 - 1
TOR
60%
21%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
PHU
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
NER
3 - 2
PHU
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NYO
1 - 3
PHU
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |