Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
7º
3º
26
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 55 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
92% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
95.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CBC
3 - 0
MEI
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 3
CBC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
CBC
4 - 0
SHE
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TIT
2 - 2
CBC
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CBC
2 - 1
SHA
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
QIN
0 - 1
SHA
31%
25%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
QIN
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
QIN
2 - 2
DAL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
QIN
1 - 4
TIT
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
QIN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |