Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
5º
14
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 71 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 65 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 54 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 50 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
6% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 1
CBC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 2
WFC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CBC
0 - 1
SHA
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CBC
3 - 1
SJF
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CBC
26%
27%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
TIT
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 1
HEN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 3
HEN
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 0
QIN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |