Chengdu Rongcheng vs Zhejiang FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
5º
25
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 71 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 65 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 54 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 50 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
6% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
11.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 3
CBC
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CBC
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
CBC
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 0
QIN
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CBC
3 - 0
MEI
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zhejiang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
QYI
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MEI
1 - 2
HAN
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HAN
0 - 0
SHA
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 0
SJF
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 1
HAN
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |