Chengdu Rongcheng vs Nantong Zhiyun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
7º
3º
18
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 74 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
85.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 30 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
87.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
CBC
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 0
QIN
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CBC
3 - 0
MEI
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 3
CBC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
CBC
4 - 0
SHE
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
WFC
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 1
GUA
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
TIT
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MEI
0 - 4
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |