Chemelil Sugar vs Tusker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
BAN
23%
31%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
WES
0 - 2
CHE
58%
26%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 3
SOF
18%
27%
54%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
KAS
2 - 0
CHE
69%
21%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
KCB
36%
30%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
TUS
3 - 1
KAS
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
TUS
1 - 1
ULI
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
TUS
1 - 2
AFC
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NZO
1 - 0
TUS
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
GOR
1 - 0
TUS
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |