Cheltenham Town vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PLY
1 - 1
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 2
STA
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 1
CHE
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
EXE
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 3
CHE
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 2
YOR
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 2
NOR
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
OPA
0 - 0
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 0
NOR
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |