Cheltenham Town vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STF
1 - 0
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
CHE
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRI
25%
23%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 3
BIR
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
WBA
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 1
BIR
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
POS
3 - 2
BIR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 3
BIR
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 1
BIR
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
2 - 1
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |