Chelsea vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
IPS
2 - 2
CHL
31%
28%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
CHL
3 - 0
BRA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
MID
1 - 0
CHL
32%
27%
42%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
CHL
4 - 1
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
POS
0 - 0
OLD
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
LUT
3 - 2
POS
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
POS
1 - 2
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2000 |
OLD
0 - 1
POS
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2000 |
CAM
0 - 0
POS
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |