Chelsea vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CHL
6 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
CHL
2 - 0
S04
71%
19%
10%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
MID
0 - 2
CHL
21%
26%
53%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 1
CHL
20%
27%
54%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
VCF
1 - 2
CHL
40%
27%
33%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LEI
2 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
LEI
0 - 1
SHE
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
SCU
0 - 0
LEI
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SHW
0 - 2
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
LEI
0 - 0
WOL
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |