Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
OPA
0 - 5
CHL
17%
23%
60%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BBU
1 - 1
CHL
17%
24%
60%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
CHL
0 - 1
INT
66%
20%
14%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CHL
4 - 1
WHU
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CHL
2 - 0
STO
81%
14%
6%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ASV
1 - 1
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ASV
2 - 2
WOL
73%
17%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
WIG
1 - 2
ASV
21%
25%
53%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
STO
0 - 0
ASV
26%
25%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
REA
2 - 4
ASV
23%
26%
51%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |