Chauray vs Stade Lavallois II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
10º
46
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
PAU
4%
12%
85%
|
20 | 62 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 0
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACG
3 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
71%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
NIO
23%
24%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 1
FON
50%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
USS
1 - 0
LAV
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 3
SAB
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAV
0 - 0
SPG
55%
21%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LPS
0 - 2
LAV
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |