Chapecoense vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
2 - 1
CHA
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 3
BRU
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ECP
2 - 0
CHA
6%
14%
81%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
FFL
3 - 2
MAR
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
HER
4 - 1
FFL
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
CAM
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 0
FFL
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
FFL
14%
23%
63%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |