Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-2
Chapecoense vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
FFL
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 2
CHA
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVA
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
FFL
3 - 3
CHA
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 0
BRU
77%
17%
6%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
COR
42%
29%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
COR
0 - 1
CEA
59%
25%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
FER
67%
22%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |