Chapecoense vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
BAR
77%
17%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
VIT
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
2 - 0
CAC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAC
3 - 2
NES
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 2
CRI
12%
23%
65%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INT
0 - 0
CAC
11%
21%
68%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAC
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |