Changchun Yatai vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
16º
11º
37
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 71 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 65 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 54 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 50 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
TIT
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 1
CHA
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 2
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 4
WFC
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HEN
1 - 1
CHA
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
SHA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
QYI
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MEI
0 - 2
SHA
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
SHA
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ZEN
6 - 0
SHA
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |