Niort vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AUX
4 - 0
NIO
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NIO
0 - 0
AMI
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LHA
2 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NIO
1 - 0
GRE
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 2
NIO
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PFC
0 - 1
GUI
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
GUI
4 - 2
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 1
AJA
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AUX
1 - 2
GUI
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 2
AMI
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |