Niort vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
NIO
0 - 1
ASS
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 1
NIO
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
NIO
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
NIO
2 - 1
PAU
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
NIO
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 0
AUX
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 5
TFC
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 2
AUX
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
AUX
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
AUX
2 - 3
MON
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |