S. Fulgencio vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 2
MUR
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 0
SPO
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
27%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
SPO
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 3
MUR
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 2
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
NOV
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
4 - 2
PIN
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NUD
1 - 0
NOV
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |