Rafal vs Sporting Dolores analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+832%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
RAF
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAF
3 - 3
UDF
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
RAF
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 2
UEC
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 1
RAF
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Dolores
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPD
0 - 3
TOR
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 2
SPD
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SPD
1 - 3
SPO
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPD
0 - 2
PIN
37%
23%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
SPD
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |