Rafal vs Racing San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
GUS
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 3
RAF
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAF
3 - 3
ALG
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ELD
3 - 1
RAF
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 1
UDF
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
RAC
87%
10%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 3
CDC
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALG
3 - 2
RAC
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 3
ASP
16%
19%
65%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MON
4 - 2
RAC
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |