Rafal vs Algueña Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+553%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 0
RAF
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
RAC
69%
17%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
GUS
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 3
RAF
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAF
3 - 3
ALG
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Algueña Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALG
3 - 3
MON
10%
16%
75%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
ALG
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 2
MON
16%
17%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 0
ALG
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALG
3 - 2
RAC
39%
23%
38%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |