Güejar Sierra vs CD Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
60.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+416%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Güejar Sierra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 2
GSR
47%
20%
33%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GSR
4 - 4
CDB
31%
22%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
IGR
5 - 0
GSR
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GSR
4 - 3
CFM
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
GSR
3 - 0
GRA
41%
21%
39%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
CD Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDN
3 - 0
CFM
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 7
CDN
18%
18%
64%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 4
GRN
30%
21%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
CDN
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CDN
2 - 1
CFL
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |