Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 0-4
CF Extremadura vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
EXT
2 - 2
VIL
49%
26%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
DEP
1 - 1
EXT
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
EXT
2 - 1
ATM
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
MLL
2 - 0
EXT
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
EXT
1 - 0
CDT
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
RAY
1 - 1
CDB
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
LEG
0 - 2
RAY
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
RAY
1 - 0
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
REC
0 - 0
RAY
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
RAY
2 - 0
CDO
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |