Alfaro B vs Varea B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
70.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAÑ
3 - 0
CFC
59%
20%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 2
AUT
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDB
5 - 1
CFC
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
CDS
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CFC
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
AUT
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 0
VAR
60%
20%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
6 - 2
CDS
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
VAR
68%
17%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
TED
25%
21%
54%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |