CF Alcalá vs Paterna CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
7 - 1
NUL
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 1
RPL
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
ALC
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ALC
4 - 2
CDB
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 0
PTQ
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paterna CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
SAG
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CFS
1 - 0
PAT
51%
23%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RIB
2 - 1
PAT
58%
23%
19%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 3
MIS
38%
23%
40%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 4
PAT
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |