Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CCP
4 - 1
OLI
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 1
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 2
CCP
15%
24%
62%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RÑU
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
32%
29%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |