Cerro Largo vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
6º
6º
10
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
FEN
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 1
CER
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
CEL
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
LFC
27%
28%
46%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 3
CEL
41%
30%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 2
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FEN
3 - 0
RAC
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CER
1 - 2
RAC
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 1
PLA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 2
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |