Cerrito vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 2
CSC
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 6
UMO
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
CSC
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
CSC
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |