Central Norte vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
2º
39
1º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
CEN
4 - 1
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
9DJ
3 - 1
CEN
17%
27%
57%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 0
SOL
69%
21%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 0
BUC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
JAN
2 - 1
CEN
29%
29%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
9DJ
66%
23%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
SAR
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
BUC
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
JAN
57%
26%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 2
SAR
21%
27%
52%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |