Central Norte vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
2º
43
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
CEN
42%
30%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 0
9DJ
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
CEN
18%
27%
56%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 2
CEN
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 0
SMA
27%
26%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
9DJ
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
SMA
17%
24%
59%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
BUC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JAN
1 - 0
SMA
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 1
SMA
84%
13%
4%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |