Central Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
2º
59
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
CEN
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 3
SAR
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
CEN
4 - 1
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
9DJ
3 - 1
CEN
17%
27%
57%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 0
SOL
69%
21%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia y Tiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GYT
2 - 0
9DJ
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 0
GYT
24%
28%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 0
BUC
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 0
GYT
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GYT
3 - 1
CDN
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |