Central Norte vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
2º
36
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 1
CEN
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 0
SMA
59%
25%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
CEN
42%
29%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 2
9DJ
67%
22%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 2
CEN
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 2
9DJ
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
CDN
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 3
BUC
28%
28%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 0
CDN
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CDN
0 - 0
GYT
22%
28%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |