Central Norte vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
1º
14
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 20 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
SAR
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 1
CEN
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAR
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JAN
1 - 1
CEN
19%
29%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 1
CDN
65%
23%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 1
SAR
57%
26%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 2
SMA
35%
30%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
BUC
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 0
JAN
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 1
BUC
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |