Central Norte vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
2º
41
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
CEN
18%
27%
56%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 2
CEN
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 0
SMA
27%
26%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 0
CEN
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
2 - 0
SDM
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 0
9DJ
18%
26%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
URU
1 - 0
9DJ
60%
22%
17%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
9DJ
1 - 0
URU
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
9DJ
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
9DJ
1 - 0
CAC
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |