Central Coast Mariners vs Bali United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 0
CCM
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CCM
9 - 1
STA
93%
6%
1%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TER
1 - 0
CCM
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 3
CCM
30%
23%
47%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 6
CCM
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bali United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
PER
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BSU
1 - 2
PER
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
TER
26%
22%
52%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
PST
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |