CENE vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
CRA
44%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 2
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 1
CEN
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 2
AGU
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
APA
1 - 0
SOB
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
APA
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
APA
0 - 1
CEI
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
APA
2 - 4
GOI
14%
18%
68%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |