Celtic vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
2º
1º
43
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 0
CEL
28%
23%
49%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 4
CEL
28%
23%
49%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
KIL
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 2
LAZ
19%
21%
60%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STM
4 - 0
STJ
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
STM
0 - 3
GLA
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
STM
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
HIB
4 - 2
STM
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
HOM
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |