Celje vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
2 - 2
CEL
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
TRA
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
MTK
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 2
BAC
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
SLA
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
TON
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 2
VIT
6%
16%
78%
|
76 | 33 | 43 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 2
WOL
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |