Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
2º
8º
2º
73
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 2
CEL
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
GOR
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
CEL
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
BRA
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
TAS
1 - 0
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
DOM
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 1
RAD
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 2
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
GOR
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |