Celje vs NS Mura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 2
CEL
25%
27%
47%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 3
MAR
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEL
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
TAS
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NSM
3 - 1
CEL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 1
NSM
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
NSM
1 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 4
NSM
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NKA
1 - 2
NSM
3%
9%
88%
|
73 | 16 | 57 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NSM
3 - 0
RAD
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |