Celaya vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
13º
11º
27
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 4
TOR
18%
26%
56%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UAT
0 - 1
TOR
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
CFC
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
ZAC
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
TOR
25%
28%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 1
TIA
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 4
UDG
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 0
UDG
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
UDG
3 - 2
ZAC
51%
23%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
UAT
1 - 2
UDG
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |