Celaya vs Cancún analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
13º
11º
28
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
ZAC
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
TOR
25%
28%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
CIM
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 2
TOR
21%
28%
51%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CFC
5 - 2
CIM
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 4
CFC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 2
TIA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
TEM
3 - 0
CFC
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 0
MOR
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |