Ceará vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 0
SAM
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
CEA
17%
26%
57%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 1
MAR
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
CEA
4 - 0
PAC
90%
9%
2%
|
83 | 42 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SPO
6%
19%
76%
|
74 | 34 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 2
SPO
14%
24%
63%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 1
AFO
87%
11%
3%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
RFC
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |