Ceará vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CEA
5 - 0
GLO
85%
12%
4%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
CEA
8%
21%
71%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
CEA
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 0
AMF
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
IAP
0 - 1
SAM
8%
15%
78%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 1
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SAM
4 - 0
PMA
77%
16%
8%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALT
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JCA
1 - 2
SAM
7%
15%
78%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |