Ceará vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOA
74%
18%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
OES
2 - 1
CEA
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 1
CEA
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
PAY
67%
20%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
CEA
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
FFL
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
FFL
0 - 2
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 2
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
AMF
2 - 4
FFL
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 2
ARN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |